The Impact of Monetary Policy and Moderating Role of Capital on the Relationship between Bank Liquidity Creation and Failure Risk in Banks listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange

Shafieinia, Ata; Noorbakhsh, Asgar

doi:10.30699/ijf.2025.397104.1413

The Impact of Monetary Policy and Moderating Role of Capital on the Relationship between Bank Liquidity Creation and Failure Risk in Banks listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

Ata Shafieinia ¹

Asgar Noorbakhsh ²

¹ MSc. in Finance, Department of Financial Management, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Farabi Campus of University of Tehran, Qom, Iran.

² Assistant Prof., Department of Financial Management, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Farabi Campus of University of Tehran, Qom, Iran.

10.30699/ijf.2025.397104.1413

Abstract

The concept of liquidity creation has received much attention in project financing, as increased liquidity facilitates easier access to financial resources for long-term projects (Berger & Bouwman, 2009). However, the liquidity creation process is often accompanied by risk. Despite its advantages, if not managed properly, it can cause problems for the banking system and even the entire economy. On the other hand, capital is considered an influential variable in risk management, which helps the bank control challenging conditions. In this regard, the present research was conducted to investigate the moderating role of capital in the relationship between liquidity creation and failure risk, and further tried to examine the role of the monetary policy adopted by the central bank, considering the macro effects of this variable. This applied research project examined the banks admitted to the Tehran Stock Exchange from 2012 to 2018. The results showed that by controlling the variables of interbank interest rate and the variety of loans and deposits, liquidity creation is significantly and directly associated with failure risk. Moreover, the findings confirmed the moderating role of bank capital in the relationship between liquidity creation and failure risk. However, the monetary policy adopted by the central bank revealed an insignificant effect on this relationship. Therefore, decision-makers should consider these factors in the decision process.

Keywords

Liquidity Creation

Failure Risk

Bank Capital

Monetary Policy

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